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- Sunstone Hotel Investors Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
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- Consolidated Graphics F2Q09 (Qtr End 10/31/08) Earnings Call Transcript
- iMergent, Inc. F4Q08 (Qtr End 10/31/08) Earnings Call Transcript
- Fuel Systems Solutions, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- eResearch Technology Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Vignette Corp. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Dynamic Materials Corporation Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Deluxe Corporation Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Blockbuster, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
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Peter Lynch
37 Comments
John Hussman: The Market Is Not in Uncharted Territory
If this is truly the end of the world, your stock portfolio is the last thing you need to worry about.
Here I Go, Criticizing Warren Buffett
Julian Robertson: Some Buying, but Bearish on the Economy
Only time will tell.
Six Tech Stocks the Rally Forgot
Research In Motion: Vulnerable to a Takeover Bid? Part 2
RIMM is last cycle's story, just like Yahoo and Cisco before the tech crash in 2000. RIMM will still be around but its best days are behind her.
This Isn't a Bottom, It's a Disturbance in The Force
I accepted long ago that I don't know and will never know where the stock market bottom is. Instead of spending my time trying to buy stocks at the bottom, I find it much more productvie to figure out which great companies I can buy at attractive valuation.
And let's not forget that buying a stock is only half of the equation, the other half, and probably the harder half, is to figure out when to sell.
Research in Motion: Vulnerable to a Takeover Bid?
Sell your RIMM at the next uptick.
Buffett's Big Bet: The Real Value of the Berkshire Investment in Goldman Sachs
We’ve also got to account for the value of the $500 million a year in dividends. The Net Present Value of those (discounted at a 10% rate) are worth $1.96 billion if it Berkshire holds them for five years.
Preferred Share Value
Finally, we’ve got to take the value of the preferred shares. Goldman has to buy these back at some time or they will be an annual $500 million drain on its annual cash flow and pre-tax profits.
The value of these will fluctuate with general interest rate levels and Goldman’s creditworthiness so it’s tough to put a value on these. But if we take an 8% discount rate, the present value of a $5.5 billion repayment from Goldman in five years (as part of the deal, Goldman has to pay a 10% penalty for buying back the preferred shares) is $3.62 billion.<<<
Your analysis is not consistent. You use a 10% discount rate for the dividend but 8% on the preferred stock value. Why?
WaMu's Downfall: No Safeguards
Your accounts are safe, no matter which banks you use, as long as they are FDIC insured and under the limit. A couple, with a little planning, can have accounts totaled up to $600,000 insured in one bank.
If you have millions of dollars in savings, checking and CD accounts in one bank (I don't care if your bank is JP Morgan, Citi, BOA, US Bancorp, or your local credit union), you need to spread that money around or buy yourself some treasury bills.
The Deal's Getting Done, But Will It Work?
However, when I read statement like this below, I really question these people's judgments:
>>>All “solutions” to the crisis at this point in time are bad solutions. The time to act was 10-15 years ago, where we could have implemented contra-cyclical policies in bank regulation, as well as enforcing a strict separation between regulated and nonregulated financial intermediaries. (No ownership, no lending, no derivative agreements.)<<&l...
In hindsight, everything is 20-20. If I had known what I know now 10-15 years ago, I would have bought as much AAPL, RIMM, GOOG, POT as I could on margin! There will be time when we need to look back and reflect upon what had gone wrong and try not to make the same mistakes again. And that's exactly what Ben Bernake is trying to do by making sure that we don't make the same policy mistakes that we did back in the 1930's.
Folks, we have a 5-alarm fire going on right now in our financial system. Let's try to put the fire out first before we start blaming the builder for not putting in a sprinkler system 10-15 years ago.
FDIC Won't Run Out of Money, But WaMu May Be Toast
However, the latest development in Washington is a game changer for Wamu. FDIC doesn't want to take over wamu...they want it sold or recapitalized. With the $700 billion RTC package in development, wamu has just become a lot more attractive to a lot more banks and priviate equity firms. And this RTC-like package also bought wamu something that they didn't have before just two days ago - time.
WaMu on the Brink
WaMu on the Brink
Stunning Reversals: Is This a Market or a Casino?
What happens if the market reverses course and goes up 3% tomorrow? Do you change your "conclusions"... again?
The Most Essential Secret to Successful Investing
And you are bragging about this??? Most smart money shorted financials in 2007, not 2008.
>>>We ended up closing out our position for a 51% gain in mid-July. Being patient nearly doubled our return—our original gain, if you’ll recall, was 30% in February<<<
Your definition of patience must be different from mine and Buffett's. 6 month is not patience. 6 year is.