easywriter05

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    • Thu Sep 18th 12:24 PM
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      Another Oversold Watch: Is This One Different?
      Nice piece, well thought out. The only quibble I would have is where you say tech may be one of the sectors enjoying the next bear bounce. Not sure about this since IT spending should slow with the slowing economy, and these companies have lost the benefit of the ever-weakening dollar, at least for now (obviously could change now that the Fed money printing machine is in overdrive). This of course pertains more to hardware companies, including Dell, than software. I too expect to see a bounce in oil and commodities, and starting to dip my foot back in that water again (DJP, USO). Thanks again for a thoughtful post.
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    • Mon Aug 25th 13:15 PM
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      Commented on:
      Gaming the Recession
      Good piece..what about the chip makers like Nvidea (NVDA)?
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    • Tue Jun 24th 00:08 AM
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      High Likelihood of a Market Crash
      It's pretty clear to me where this is headed. Short term we may have some market rallies and upturns, perhaps some lasting months or more. But long term the scenario is negative. We've had a bull market as long as most of us can remember, but the worm is turning. We've spent ourselves as a country into a massive debt hole for starters--our society now owes $45 trillion, more than 3 times GDP, about $150,000 per man, woman and child--and it's increasing (not to mention the massive bill coming due for social security, medicare and other entitements; we've pumped an increasing amount of our capital back into non productive enterprises (what sort of return are we getting off the Iraq war?), and thanks to Greenspan, Bush and the Congress, spent the last eight years creating the greatest housing bubble--and bust--in decades. The credit crisis is real and will only get worse. It was a nice long party, but the hangover will be even longer--much longer (sorry for the stupid metaphors). Books like The Collapse of the Dollar, Crash Proof, Bulls Eye Investing and others have outlined these problems, but they're generally dismissed as extremists, even as the talking heads and pied pipers lead us to believe another giant rally is just around the corner. I'm not sure we'll have a currency collapse as bad as Argentina in the 90s, or Wiemar Republic/Germany, but we could be in for some tough times...super inflation, rising unemployment, sluggish growth...you know the story. Better buckle up...
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