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    • Tue Dec 2nd 10:29 AM
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      Rating: +5 0
      Commented on:
      Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
      I like your charts and analysis. I've been tracking several as indicators overall. EWZ for instance tells me a bit about how Vanguard's emerging market fund might perform - so I chew on that information as I look for an entry point on the Vanguard. Obviously there is a big demand destruction all around. How can China perk up if Chucky is home watching his Plasma Tv that was made in China four months ago? I think your charts are helpful as I try to judge when all the air is out. Sure looks close but my guess is it might have another 10 - 15% to go. Is there a fund or ETF with "Obama" winners - like infrastructure and education?.
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    • Tue Nov 25th 18:59 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Random Nature of James River Coal
      Everything was oversold three days ago. Energy was especially way way oversold. Look at your chart there.. way way under the trend lines. James River was a rocket last summer and took a nosedive with oil and all energy. Obviously they dove way under ...too deep. You were wise to pick it up when you did and probably wise to take the money now. In two years energy will again be a darling but probably erratic for awhile. imho.
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    • Fri Nov 14th 09:10 AM
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      Rating: +1 -1
      Commented on:
      Bush's Peculiar Wall Street Speech
      Bush bashing is in STILL and will continue at least 4 more years to clear the way for Obama's mistakes. He was not the WORST president (hello Carter) ever and actually had few profound successes given he had a hamstrung Republican thin-majority congress for 6 years followed by 2 years of a super-wealthy-finance-... congress.

      The speech was an attempt to boost confidence for investors. Lots of platitudes. Bush has never been a great communicator - perhaps his biggest fault along with his unrelenting staff loyalty (also Nixon's undoing). In most cases when Bush appears to talk in recent times - the market goes DOWN. It is interesting his talk helped it go UP this day.

      Free market capitalism took near fatal blow in Sept 2001 because that event turned even die-hard conservative adam-smith worshipers into Keynesian dietary dependents to help resolve the worldwide financial disaster. It opened the gates wider for free money out of Frannie with NO oversight thanks to and even more Keynesian dependent Democrat leadership. The current mess then is merely the final wave of the 2001 attack aftershocks.

      Bush - who cannot successfully talk his way out of a paper bag - was an easy target for eight years of Democrat abuse. Any blame due to Democrats was easily deflected to Bush. Now - the very people who refused oversight of their financial domain of Frannies are in charge of the cure. American politics is so funny it should be syndicated.
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    • Mon Nov 10th 14:26 PM
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      Rating: +1 -1
      Commented on:
      Should We Really Bail Out the Big Three Automakers with $73.20 Per Hour Labor?
      What strikes me as interesting is that the great majority of high finance executives at AIG, FRE and FNM (and other big investment banks) are (were) Democrats and support the bailouts where they benefit other Democrat strongholds (such as unions). I don't know why they are mostly democrats but it must be something to do with the way the money from government is distributed so that it is a benefit to them. Or wait ... wait .. maybe it is because they are ethical and have a social conscious?


      On Nov 10 09:14 AM Herbert Hoover wrote:

      > Just out of curiosity - How much per hour do the guys at AIG make?
      > Oh, I forgot, AIG is a friend of Paulson's, so that's OK.
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    • Wed Oct 1st 08:53 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      General Discussion on FRE
      Too late. The "free market' philosophers fail to note the country has long ago dipped into the socialist sphere and a pure free market has not existed for some time. Case in point - FRE an FNM that are creations of the government which then failed to oversee them or regulate them properly for political reasons. There are so many government fingers in this pie that no "pure" free market solution can work. Some kind of "rescue trust" will need implementation - but hopefully with a finite END date wherein the whole thing is returned to the private sector and what is left of "the free market". I too have decided that I will not now - not EVER become a candidate for president of the United States of America. I am however, open to myself having absolute powers in what will be MY reign as benevolent dictator.
      View forum topic »
    • Sun Sep 28th 20:01 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      3 Things America Needs to Do to Get the Economy Back on Track
      Hello - Here's one take: Sugar Money followed attacks of 2001 to put a Keynesian cure on a world of a mess in the financial markets. It was a "typical Democrat solution" but it was R's that implemented it. Frankly there was not a choice. Had to be done. When the banks started to get risky based on earlier deregulations and and trading rules going back to the Clinton era. Add to that policy rules that prompted banks to put out high risk loans to people with little ability to pay - as well as to speculators busy flipping the housing market, and voila ! BUBBLE. Warning flags and legislation to dial back the spicket came from the Bush Admin and McCain among others. Dems turned a blind eye. Bubble had no restraints. In reality there are low percentages of actual bad loans but given the "mark to market" accounting - the whole group of assets became tainted. So much of this is the cause of government tinkering but I see little way out except to tinker some more. I think the modified Paulson plan has a good shot at unclogging the credit pipes .. and reviving the economy - though the DOMESTIC markets may not follow so soon since the dollar gets damaged in the process. Oil is certainly a factor here but if our markets begin to respond - more oil and gold money will begin flowing back to the US equity pie.
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    • Wed Sep 24th 12:43 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      General Discussion on FRE
      I do not see the $700 assumption of "bad" loans as LOST money. It will come back with "profit" as the market settles down and the loans are re-sold back to the private sector. Time line - maybe 5 years. I see the alternative of a deep recession affecting jobs, GDP, trade and home values as LOST money never to be see again with a 10 time frame to possible recovery. So where is the issue? Appearance of nationalization of the loan business? The whole setup was already a quasi government deal backed by taxpayers. So - assume the loans - kick out some managers - replace some boards - send a few people to prison and let's get on with it.
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    • Mon Sep 15th 16:27 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Need for Student Loans Should Boost First Marblehead Stock
      Funny but also astute replies. I have some of this a 3.20 and feel a bit encouraged by FMD's positioning for a run on student loans as the recession kicks in. Maybe some extra courses in grammar and spelling will be in demand. After today, I wonder if I should buy some more.
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    • Sun Aug 31st 14:32 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Financials and TED Spread Could Signal a Bottom for Corporate Profit Declines
      That TED spread looks like a return to normalcy by about mid 2010. I'ma thinkin' this thing is good for some bounces up to then but surely not a return to the Bull yet. I'd be mighty selective there, pilgrim.
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    • Sun Jul 6th 09:06 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      20 Guidelines for the Individual Investor
      Oh! Now I get it! Buy low and sell high !
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    • Tue Jul 1st 09:45 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Options Trader: Monday Outlook
      Prudent man is not all wrong. Take a look at who was running congress in those years of R presidential profligacy. The current massive deficit can be traced back to the vote that took place in November of 2001 in which other people entirely decided how America and the world would spend their money in the next decade. A few disasters and a couple of wars later with loose money to float all the effort - well, here we are.
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    • Mon Jun 30th 16:58 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Fluor Corp.: A Great Energy Play
      Given the current surge in interest in FLR, and with the most recent economic news being very very dour -- I am thinking even with FLR a strong choice, there may be a better entry point in a few weeks. Hate to wait for it to come back for me but sometimes this works. Am thinking a price arouind 170 could happen in a down market pile up. This is counter to the oil price factor that also helps drive fluor up (re- nuclear). Of course if I was Warren Buffet - I'd wait for it to drop to $140. (As if THAT would happen).
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    • Mon Jun 23rd 08:42 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      My Investment Philosophy and Visa
      you can see wide swings in MA from a longer history. V may have some weakness along with the market but pulling this on a short term loss seems short sighted to me. MA has a phenomenal track record both private and corporate. V is set to follow. This is not a stock to jump in and out of. Buy and hold for 10 or 20 years and enjoy.
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    • Thu Jun 19th 18:52 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      A Missed Opportunity in Canadian Solar
      I too found and selected for a buy too late. Missed the run. However there may be a market rally next week because of a widely predicted oil price decline (if only temporary to pop the bubble). As it is oil that will drive the wider up market - it may also drive solar down a bit. Now there may be another shot at this yet.
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    • Sat Jun 14th 09:29 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Global Regulation Trend Favors PowerShares Global Clean Energy
      Floorboard is right. But religious trends tend to gain traction and stick for thousands of years. Global Warming, socialistic redistribution of energy and other resources. They have the winning team on their side (about 95 pct of the UN) and probably is a good idea to bet on them.
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