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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
- The Macro View -SampleSeeking Alpha - The Macro ViewMarket Outlook
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
- Oil Down 48% from Highs by Bespoke Investment Group
- Oil & Gas Headed Lower as Economy Strikes Consumers by Michael Filloon
Economy- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
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- Farewell Financial Bear Raids - Cramer's Mad Money (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Better Picks - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Perhaps Industrials... Cramer's Stop Trading! (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Long Ideas- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
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- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
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Short Ideas- Why Short Sellers Are the Heroes of Wall Street by Investment U
- Salesforce.com: Pricey and Coming Down Fast by Charlie Bottle
- Google: 3Q Results Reveal Chinks in the Armor by Mark Krieger
- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
- Is Google Feeling Lucky? by Sam Gustin
- Why Today Could Suck for Tech by Kevin Maney
Media- A Triple Financial Whammy Afflicts Newspapers by Ken Doctor
- Three Years On, Buying MySpace Looks Like One of Murdoch's Smartest Bets by Erick Schonfeld
- How Will Arbitron Fare in This Market? by Sreeni Meka
Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
- Earnings Preview: Electro-Optical Engineering by theflyonthewall.com
- Shared Docks Via WiFi All the Rage by Dean Bubley
Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- LIBOR Shows Worst Is Yet to Come for Credit Markets by Keith Fitz-Gerald
- Global Markets -SampleSeeking Alpha - Global MarketsChina
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
- China: Hot Money Inflows Down, Nervousness Up by Michael Pettis
India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
- India: RBI Cuts Cash Reserve Ratio by Equitymaster
- India: Markets Continue Downward by Equitymaster
Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Alternative Energy Investing -SampleSeeking Alpha - Alternative EnergyAlternative Energy
- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
- Solar Shares Under Pressure From Credit Crunch and Pricing by Eric Savitz
- Trina Solar Looks Good, Though Market Yawns by Trader Mark
- The Electric Car Market: Wise Energy Use Stocks by Tom Konrad
- Investing in the Power of the Sea
- ETF Daily -SampleSeeking Alpha - ETF DailySector ETFs
- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
- Overview and Analysis of the Global Generic Drug Industry by Mike Havrilla
Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
- Playing the Market in Difficult Times by Jason Hamlin
- The Daily Dispatch -SampleSeeking Alpha - Daily DispatchWall Street Breakfast
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices by Tim Iacono
Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Polycom, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
ETF- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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Latest Comments5 Comments
General Electric: Genuine Risk of Collapse?
I don't agree with the Immelt GO BIG< GO GLOBAL, Hedgefund approach, but the company is strong is many major sectors, like energy, infrastructure, health care...all of which are going to prosper because of the economic problems and government funding world wide. In addition, Immelt is trying to refocus the Financial service company, but the timing is poor. In short, "all generalizations are wrong...including this generalization" and you must dissect the problem and recognize that there are BOTH good and poor pieces of the portfolio.
I believe that Immelt is committed and with some luck and refocusing and a willingness to admit mistakes and ADAPT... GE should be able to do what it did over 127 years...selectively grow...remember this it is the only remaining company from the original DOW and it is not a basket case like the other GENERAL...General Motors.
Bill Rothschild, author of the only objective, comprehensive and insightful assesssment of GE's successes and failures... THE SECRET TO GE's SUCCESS and GEWatcher blog (strategyleader.com)
Is GE Becoming More Conservative?
However, the company is much more COMPLEX and this is one of the reasons that it is having CREDIBILITY problems... it is very difficult to keep track with the changes it has CREATED ON ITS OWN...and not just the complexity of the world today.
I hope that the GE Leaders have learned from its own history.
Bill Rothschild, author of the only comprehensive, objective and insightful GE Strategic HISTORY and INSIGHTS...THE SECRET TO GE's SUCCESS...
GE Earnings Could Be the Last Straw
Bill Rothschild, author of THE SECRET TO GE's SUCCESS, the only comprehensive and objective GE strategic history and now a global best seller.
Are High-Profile CEOs Effective?
In 2000, before Immelt was appointed a wrote an article for Chief Executive magazine entitled Succeeding a LEGEND, in which I described the problems that Welch's successor would face and how the new CEO could not continue to implement the Welch strategy. Of course this was before September 11th. Immelt has completed changed the GE game plan which was needed. However, I still am concerned about the expectations he has established and is fixation on GOING BIG/ GOING GLOBAL.
Take a look at my website and blog: strategyleader.com, in which I have a continuing assessment of Immelt and his strategy. It is called GEWatcher.
Bill Rothschild, author of global bestseller: The Secret to GE's Success.
GE: Immelt Gets Welched
During my 25 year GE tenure and my subsequent 23 years as a consultant to major corporations, I stressed two leadership tenets:
1. Set minimum expectations and always meet or even slightly exceed them. This demonstrates that you are credible and can always be counted on.
2. Never surprise your “key stakeholders”, especially customers and investors and most of all YOURSELF. This shows that you have done your homework and are prepared for uncertainty.
Last Friday, Jeff Immelt and his GE team violated both of these leaderships tenets.
In my recent book: The Secret to GE’s Success, I ended my 127 year strategic history of the company with concerns about Immelt’s ability to “meet high expectations and avoid surprises”.
I cited four concerns:
• Ability to “Go Big”, which was the theme of the 2005 annual report. In this area, I applauded his “missionary zeal”, but didn’t believe that he could grow organically, at a 8% compounded rate, because of the size and complexity of the company ( adding $14 billion of revenues each year and even a higher rate of earnings can’t be achieved forever… it is simply the “law of BIG numbers”).
• “Selling Solutions Globally” - highlighted the complexity of selling to developing nations, like China and India, who are not willing to “repatriate earnings and even nationalize companies” if they are too profitable and big.
• “It Always Takes Longer Than You Think”, focused on how difficult it is to get large, infrastructure orders and maintain strong competitive positions.
• “Maintaining a Strong and Deep Bench” focused on GE’s willingness to invest in people and even allocate a month of the CEO’s time to evaluating key people. When you have over 300,000 employees with a wide variety of cultures, religions and skills, this is almost impossible. GE has been and continues to be the prime source of executive and professional talent by headhunters and companies who have a “just in time” staffing philosophy.
Chief Executive Article. In June, 2007, I published an article in Chief Executive magazine, entitled: “Decision Time for Buffett and Immelt”, in which I contrasted the “GO BIG” simple approach of Warren Buffett with the complex approach GE’s Immelt. In this article, I stress three actions for Immelt to consider:
o Make the company less complex.
o Continue to Prune the Portfolio.
o Create “tracking stocks”- that would allow investors to invest in sectors of the company, while allowing GE to remain in control and one company.
Blogs on Amazon and Google. Since November, 2007, I have been writing a series of blogs, entitled GEWatchers, to keep my readers and clients up to date on what Immelt and his team are doing strategically and how their actions compare to what made GE successful in the past. These can be accessed on my site: strategyleader.com.
If you want to discuss…visit our blog on: strategyleader.com
Bill Rothschild